Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Khan vs. Molina Prediction







On December 15th Amir Khan will return to the ring for the first time since his brutal KO loss to Danny Garcia. He will be face Carlos Molina, not the tough and rugged Molina that has given fits to fighters like Erislandy Lara, Kermit Cintron, and James Kirkland. This Carlos Molina is far more conventional than the other. It should be a relatively easy night for Khan against the light punching Molina but there is always that possibility of Khan getting blown out again. His chin has proven to be weak and his defense is not even lackluster, its more like an amateur. With Khans obvious weaknesses it should give Molina some added confidence going into the fight, so while he is in there he should make a fight of it. If Molina can handle Khans punching power and take advantage of Khans weak chin and defensive lapses, he could pull off the upset and end Khan's career as a serious fighter forever. But with a 38% knockout ratio it is unlikely that Molina can hurt Khan. The more obvious scenario would be Molina stopping a tired Khan late, if Molina can survive Khan early.

What Should Happen:
I expect Khan to be very cautious, even against the light punching Molina. I am not sure how long that will last as the need to make a statement will likely overcome his desire to remain cautious. I am assuming that despite Molina's lack of punching power, that he will come out to test Khan's chin anyways, which is not such a bad idea since Khan's chin has proven to be the chink in his armor, well, that and his lack of defense. 

What Could Happen:
Molina could surprise us by taking Khan's punch and even scoring an upset over Khan. If this were to happen I have to assume that either Molina catches Khan cold, which is highly unlikely, or that Molina stops Khan late. Khan had a tendency to wear down in the later rounds and that coupled with his inability to take a good punch could prove his downfall and the end of Amir Khan as we know it. 

What I Think Will Happen:
Most likely Khan will play it safe opting to stay on the outside and rely on his jab and speed. If Molina can take what Khan dishes out, its unlikely Khan will ever engage him, despite Molina's lack of power. I think Khan will get a unanimous decision or even a late stoppage.

Khan v Molina Interviews and Workouts

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