Friday, January 24, 2014

Garcia vs Burgos, Pre-Fight Analysis


Saturday we have the pleasure of seeing Mikey Garcia face Juan Carlos Burgos in a super featherweight title clash. Burgos is the typical Mexican warrior who comes to fight and has demonstrated a strong chin and an iron will that will be difficult for Garcia to break. Garcia has the superior technique, speed, and power. He made Orlando Salido look like an amateur, and Salido is not exactly an easy nut to crack, but Garcia cracked him, repeatedly. He has since looked pretty stellar in his wins, aside from a knockdown in his last fight against Roman Martinez. Burgos is coming off two consecutive draws, one against Roman Martinez, the same Roman Martinez that Garcia beat the living hell out of. But, as we know in boxing that is not an indication of what is going to happen when these two fighters meet, styles make fights, and so do Mexican badasses.


What should happen?
Garcia should dominate in every single area, using his awesome boxing intelligence to outwit the iron willed Burgos. He will likely keep him at a distance and do what he has to in order to win without taking too many risks and if the opportunity presents itself, he will go for the KO. This would likely result in a technical mismatch and another one sided boxing clinic from Garcia.
Result: Garcia UD12, possibly late KO

What could happen?
Assuming Burgos can take the best Garcia has to offer, he could keep the pressure on and force this into a brawl, which is his best chance at a win. If he can sustain this pressure and take Garcias punch, he could wear Garcia down and possibly expose a not so great chin, which thus far has not really been tested much.
Result: Burgos late TKO

What I think will happen?
I think Garcia puts on another clinic, but the toughness of Burgos will eventually overcome the disparity in talent and turn it into an all out war. I think Garcia has the tools to handle a trench war and prove to everyone that he can go to war. Garcia is devastatingly accurate with his punches and he can punch on top of that, I do not see Burgos being able to overcome that but I think he will make a war of it while hes in there.
Result: 8th Round KO for Garcia

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