Jennings vs Szpilka Post Fight Analysis

Last Saturday american hopeful Bryant Jennings dominated Polish Artur Szpilka, demonstrating that he is more than the golden boy hype job Deontay Wilder. Jennings fought aggressively and intelligently against the overmatched but always dangerous Szpilka, who had the better ledger and more experience coming into this fight. That being said, you would not have guessed that while watching the fight as Artur did not look like he even belonged in the same ring as Jennings. We now know that Jennings does have a solid chin, superb conditioning, and a wealth of boxing intelligence. I did not expect this fight to be as one sided as it was, but Jennings looked completely unscathed and could probably fight again in the next couple weeks. 

Mayweather vs Khan Pre Fight Analysis

A proposed matchup between pound for pound king Floyd Mayweather vs Amir Khan could become a reality, but prove a nightmare for Khan. Normally with a guy like Khan I would say that he is looking for at least one more big payday but I actually think Khan believes he can beat Mayweather. He believes that his speed and power will be enough to upset Mayweather, but how many other fighters thought that same thing? Khans defense has more holes than a kitchen strainer and a weak chin at that, speed and power is not going to get it done here. Mayweather is not Peterson or Prescott, both of whom beat Khan. Mayweather is not just a champion, or even just a multi-division champion, he is the greatest fighter of our generation, the pound for pound king. Khan is delusional if he honestly think that his amateur style has any hope of defeating Mayweather

What Should Happen
This is easy, Mayweather will do what he has done to opponents for years, he will beat Khans ass. Floyd will likely start out boxing Khan, letting Khan come to him, throw wild shots. Floyd will be getting his timing while Khan thinks that he is getting to Mayweather. Now, it all ends when Mayweather decides its going to end. Once he starts countering Khan it is only a matter of time before that trademark weak chin gets tagged and he awkwardly goes down, and gets up on spaghetti legs, dances around and eventually gets stopped.
Result: Mayweather KO 

What Could Happen
Lots of things could happen, it is boxing, but one thing that will not happen is Khan winning this fight. He has no hope, even in the could section. But, for the sake of argument, lets say that Floyd has aged considerably by the time they fight, hasn't trained and has developed cataracts which enable him to see blurs of light. Maybe, just maybe then Amir Khan might have a slight edge in the fight, but would still likely lose the fight. But in the event that all those things happen before these two get in the ring, then I would say it would be a close decision for Khan.
Result: Khan UD (assuming Floyd has cataracts, has aged 50 years, hasn't trained)

What I Think Will Happen
Simply put, what should happen. Another spanking.
Result: Mayweather KO

Ortiz vs Collazo Pre Fight Analysis

On January 30th Victor Ortiz returns to the ring against the always tough Luis Collazo in a welterweight clash. It has been nearly two years since Ortiz was last in the ring when he lost to Joesesito Lopez via a broken jaw. I am not one of the ones that got on Ortiz about quitting that night, I am sure a broken jaw hurts so I am not gonna knock the guy for quitting. I have to question his ability to come back nearly two years after two consecutive losses against Collazo. Luis Collazo is not an opponent, he is a real guy that is slick but at the same time can scrap. He is tough as nails and probably hungry to prove himself since he seems to always fall shy of winning in the bigger fights. His only real problem is that he seems to fade a bit in the later rounds, I am not sure if this is a stamina issue or he just kind of becomes a little bit lazy.

What Should Happen
Assuming Ortiz is not a shot fighter with a whole lot of ring rust and is still the same old Ortiz, he should be able to bang out a decision but it wont be easy and it could be a good scrap. Ortiz can still punch and if he lands some good punches he could force Collazo into safety mode. This would keep Ortiz coming forward and Collazo unable to do much off the back foot.
Result: Ortiz UD

What Could Happen
This is what I am hoping happens, a war. Collazo isn't likely to back down, he has a good chin too. If he decides not to box, then he could make this a war. Its really tough to tell who would win in a war, Ortiz has the power advantage but he has been off since 2012 and lost his last two fights, one in brutal fashion at the hands of Mayweather. One has to wonder how much he has left and if Collazo can take his punch I think he forces Ortiz to quit or stops him. Now, he could stop him early if Ortiz has that much ring rust or he could wear him down and stop him late, either way Collazo could win this thing in spectacular fashion.
Result: Collazo by KO or TKO

What I Think Will Happen
I think Collazo uses his superior skills to frustrate Ortiz who then amps up the pressure on Collazo. I think Collazo is going to counter punch as long as he can before the pressure becomes too much and he is forced to fight Ortiz' fight. I think Collazo outboxes Ortiz and out punches Ortiz. I think Ortiz, desperate to show he has heart, continues fighting although he has given up and is just trying to make it to the end. I just do not think Ortiz has much left at this point.
Result: Collazo by UD

Garcia vs Burgos, Pre-Fight Analysis

Saturday we have the pleasure of seeing Mikey Garcia face Juan Carlos Burgos in a super featherweight title clash. Burgos is the typical Mexican warrior who comes to fight and has demonstrated a strong chin and an iron will that will be difficult for Garcia to break. Garcia has the superior technique, speed, and power. He made Orlando Salido look like an amateur, and Salido is not exactly an easy nut to crack, but Garcia cracked him, repeatedly. He has since looked pretty stellar in his wins, aside from a knockdown in his last fight against Roman Martinez. Burgos is coming off two consecutive draws, one against Roman Martinez, the same Roman Martinez that Garcia beat the living hell out of. But, as we know in boxing that is not an indication of what is going to happen when these two fighters meet, styles make fights, and so do Mexican badasses.


What should happen?
Garcia should dominate in every single area, using his awesome boxing intelligence to outwit the iron willed Burgos. He will likely keep him at a distance and do what he has to in order to win without taking too many risks and if the opportunity presents itself, he will go for the KO. This would likely result in a technical mismatch and another one sided boxing clinic from Garcia.
Result: Garcia UD12, possibly late KO

What could happen?
Assuming Burgos can take the best Garcia has to offer, he could keep the pressure on and force this into a brawl, which is his best chance at a win. If he can sustain this pressure and take Garcias punch, he could wear Garcia down and possibly expose a not so great chin, which thus far has not really been tested much.
Result: Burgos late TKO

What I think will happen?
I think Garcia puts on another clinic, but the toughness of Burgos will eventually overcome the disparity in talent and turn it into an all out war. I think Garcia has the tools to handle a trench war and prove to everyone that he can go to war. Garcia is devastatingly accurate with his punches and he can punch on top of that, I do not see Burgos being able to overcome that but I think he will make a war of it while hes in there.
Result: 8th Round KO for Garcia

Jennings vs Szpilka, Pre-Fight Analysis

This saturday on the undercard of Garcia vs Burgos, Bryant Jennings takes on Artur Szpilka. There are quite a few boxing fans who have not heard of Jennings or have heard of him but not seen him fight. Szpilka has been exposed to the american public on a few occasions but in those occasions, while he won, he did not look like anything spectacular. For whatever reason Deontay Wilder gets more attention than Bryant Jennings who has arguably fought the better opposition, has the better skill set, and is just plain easier to listen to when he talks.

Szpilka has shown an unreliable chin, being hurt by Jameel Mccline, and floored by Mike Mollo in both of their fan friendly wars. Jennings in contrast has always been consistent and I think the reason he does not have more knockouts is for the simple fact that he is such an intelligent fighter and doesn't rush in looking for the KO. Szpilka on the other hand is a straight foreward pressure fighter who often has defensive lapses in his offensive attacks.

What should happen?
I think people are expecting Szpilka to beat Jennings, but I have not even checked the odds on this one. Both guys are at a similar stage in their career, both have fought a few guys, Szpilka probably has a better ledger, but not by much. So its really a close call as to what should happen, its way too even.
Result: Szpilka UD

What could happen?
One thing Szpilka can do is punch. Jennings has shown that he has some pop, enough to get respect at least and probably enough to hurt Szpilka who has shown vulnerabilities in the past. It could be a quick night in favor of either fighter.
Result: Jennings by early KO 

What I think will happen?
I think Jennings schools Szpilka and if he doesnt stop him early he is going to put a beating on Szpilka and then either he stops him or Szpilka quits. Jennings has shown consistency, enough of it that I can say confidently that he has the goods. He is still untested but I have a feeling about him and I think he is going to crush Szpilka. One thing we know for sure, there is going to be some chin checking in this fight, assuming Jennings does not have a chin like Michael Bennett, he should win handily.
Result: Jennings KO

Stiverne vs Arreola II, Fight Analysis

Sometime in early 2014 we are going to be treated to a rematch of two hard hitting heavyweights, Bermane Stiverne and Chris Arreola. The pair last fought in April of last year in what was a fairly exciting matchup that saw Arreola being largely out gunned for most of the fight, even being floored hard in the third. Arreola said that this was his first real loss as he came into the fight in spectacular shape, which has not always been the case for him. He has shown that he is taking boxing serious now and since the two are fighting for the WBC title vacated by Vitali Klitschko it should be a barn burner.

I look for Stiverne to implement the same game plan that he did in their first meeting, and he should, it was very effective. Stiverne showed great poise and some good boxing skills in allowing Arreola to come forward and then countering all he had to offer. Stiverne, being a big puncher, can get away with a low punch out put and since Arreola is going to be coming forward there are plenty of opportunities to land counter shots.

What strategy is Arreola going to try to implement this time? I think it would be wise of time to rely heavily on the jab to work his way inside and crowd Stiverne, working the body as much as possible. He has to apply pressure, that is what he is good at, but he has to be intelligent when doing so. Stiverne is a real puncher and running into any one of them would end Arreola's dream of becoming a world champion. Simply put, rely on the jab to work your way in and move your head.

What should happen?
Quite simply it should be a repeat of their first meeting, maybe a bit more of a furious pace since there is a title at stake, but same result.

What could happen?
With these guys, anything could happen. There are a number of scenarios that could be run through as both guys are tough and both guys can punch. Each guy has a good amateur pedigree and are fairly versatile for big punchers.

What I think will happen?
I think Arreola is going to fight better than he ever has. He as been more active than Stiverne and he is still surprisingly hungry to win the title. I think he takes advantage of Stivernes low level of activity and slowly walks him down. I say Arreola by 12 UD or possibly a late stoppage. If Arreola can keep up a fast pace whilst not taking a lot of punishment, he can tire Stiverne out and win a decision and possibly, as I said, a stoppage late.