Wednesday, April 24, 2013

The Return of El Dinamita

On September 14th Juan Manuel Marquez returns to the ring to attempt lift the title of Timothy Bradley. Marquez is coming into this fight riding the high of his vicious but classic KO of Manny Pacquiao and unless something drastically changed in his life, he will likely be in prime condition both mentally and physically. Bradley, on the other hand, has not looked good in his last two fights, a gift decision against Manny Pacquiao and an all out war against Provodnikov. In both of those fights Bradley showed his toughness in taking a tremendous amount of punishment. What he also showed is that he is a very limited fighter, he has alright speed, a good chin, big heart, and that is pretty much it. He lacks punching power, having only 12 KO's in 30 fights, giving him about a 38% KO ratio. This will be his toughest test to date, he is not fighting a Pacquiao who has just converted and seems disinterested in fighting. He will not be fighting the limited but powerful Provodnikov, but a supremely conditioned athlete who has both speed and power, and on top of that Marquez has the experience. The deck is stacked against Bradley.

What should happen
Bradley will give a good account of himself but his chin and heart will not be enough to overcome the all-time great. Marquez will likely take his time and break his opponent down and stop him late but it would not surprise anyone if it went to the cards.

What could happen
Well, I doubt that Bradley will stop Marquez, even if Marquez comes in grossly out of shape. Bradley could do what he did against Pacquiao and get battered around the ring and still get a decision.

What I think will happen
I would not be surprised if Marquez catches Bradley early and stops him, I also would not be surprised if Marquez hurts him but he survives and turns it into a war, that he will ultimately lose. Bradley is limited, and the only reason he did not get stopped against his last two opponents is because he has a great chin and a big heart. Neither will be enough to overcome Marquez. Bradley is going to get knocked out.

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