Friday, January 3, 2014

Stiverne vs Arreola II, Fight Analysis

Sometime in early 2014 we are going to be treated to a rematch of two hard hitting heavyweights, Bermane Stiverne and Chris Arreola. The pair last fought in April of last year in what was a fairly exciting matchup that saw Arreola being largely out gunned for most of the fight, even being floored hard in the third. Arreola said that this was his first real loss as he came into the fight in spectacular shape, which has not always been the case for him. He has shown that he is taking boxing serious now and since the two are fighting for the WBC title vacated by Vitali Klitschko it should be a barn burner.

I look for Stiverne to implement the same game plan that he did in their first meeting, and he should, it was very effective. Stiverne showed great poise and some good boxing skills in allowing Arreola to come forward and then countering all he had to offer. Stiverne, being a big puncher, can get away with a low punch out put and since Arreola is going to be coming forward there are plenty of opportunities to land counter shots.

What strategy is Arreola going to try to implement this time? I think it would be wise of time to rely heavily on the jab to work his way inside and crowd Stiverne, working the body as much as possible. He has to apply pressure, that is what he is good at, but he has to be intelligent when doing so. Stiverne is a real puncher and running into any one of them would end Arreola's dream of becoming a world champion. Simply put, rely on the jab to work your way in and move your head.

What should happen?
Quite simply it should be a repeat of their first meeting, maybe a bit more of a furious pace since there is a title at stake, but same result.

What could happen?
With these guys, anything could happen. There are a number of scenarios that could be run through as both guys are tough and both guys can punch. Each guy has a good amateur pedigree and are fairly versatile for big punchers.

What I think will happen?
I think Arreola is going to fight better than he ever has. He as been more active than Stiverne and he is still surprisingly hungry to win the title. I think he takes advantage of Stivernes low level of activity and slowly walks him down. I say Arreola by 12 UD or possibly a late stoppage. If Arreola can keep up a fast pace whilst not taking a lot of punishment, he can tire Stiverne out and win a decision and possibly, as I said, a stoppage late.



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